Polls
Arizona Polls: Trump vs. Biden
Key 2020 Races: Senate | AZ-1 | AZ-2 | AZ-6 President: 2016: Trump +3.5 | 2012: Romney +9.1
Final 2016 RCP Average: Trump +4.0, Results: Trump +3.5 (Trump -0.5 Behind the Polls)
Final 2016 RCP Average: Trump +4.0, Results: Trump +3.5 (Trump -0.5 Behind the Polls)
Final 2016 RCP Average: Trump +4.0, Results: Trump +3.5 (Trump -0.5 Behind the Polls)
Polling Data
| Poll | Date | Sample | MoE | Biden (D) | Trump (R) | Spread |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Final Results | -- | -- | -- | 49.4 | 49.1 | Biden +0.3 |
| RCP Average | 10/25 - 11/1 | -- | -- | 47.9 | 47.0 | Biden +0.9 |
| NBC News/MaristNBC/Marist | 10/29 - 11/1 | 717 LV | 4.5 | 48 | 48 | Tie |
| CNBC/Change Research (D)CNBC | 10/29 - 11/1 | 409 LV | -- | 50 | 47 | Biden +3 |
| Reuters/IpsosReuters | 10/27 - 11/1 | 610 LV | 5.0 | 49 | 47 | Biden +2 |
| EmersonEmerson | 10/29 - 10/31 | 732 LV | 3.6 | 48 | 46 | Biden +2 |
| Rasmussen ReportsRasmussen | 10/27 - 10/29 | 800 LV | 3.5 | 45 | 49 | Trump +4 |
| NY Times/Siena*NYT/Siena* | 10/26 - 10/30 | 1252 LV | 3.0 | 49 | 43 | Biden +6 |
| Trafalgar Group (R)*Trafalgar (R)* | 10/25 - 10/28 | 1002 LV | 3.0 | 46 | 49 | Trump +3 |
Polling Data
| Poll | Date | Sample | MoE | Biden (D) | Trump (R) | Spread |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Final Results | -- | -- | -- | 49.4 | 49.1 | Biden +0.3 |
| RCP Average | 10/25 - 11/1 | -- | -- | 47.9 | 47.0 | Biden +0.9 |
| NBC News/MaristNBC/Marist | 10/29 - 11/1 | 717 LV | 4.5 | 48 | 48 | Tie |
| CNBC/Change Research (D)CNBC | 10/29 - 11/1 | 409 LV | -- | 50 | 47 | Biden +3 |
| Reuters/IpsosReuters | 10/27 - 11/1 | 610 LV | 5.0 | 49 | 47 | Biden +2 |
| EmersonEmerson | 10/29 - 10/31 | 732 LV | 3.6 | 48 | 46 | Biden +2 |
| Rasmussen ReportsRasmussen | 10/27 - 10/29 | 800 LV | 3.5 | 45 | 49 | Trump +4 |
| NY Times/Siena*NYT/Siena* | 10/26 - 10/30 | 1252 LV | 3.0 | 49 | 43 | Biden +6 |
| Trafalgar Group (R)*Trafalgar (R)* | 10/25 - 10/28 | 1002 LV | 3.0 | 46 | 49 | Trump +3 |
| CNN*CNN* | 10/23 - 10/30 | 865 LV | 4.1 | 50 | 46 | Biden +4 |
| Reuters/IpsosReuters | 10/21 - 10/27 | 714 LV | 4.0 | 48 | 46 | Biden +2 |
| OH Predictive Insights*Predictive Insights* | 10/22 - 10/25 | 716 LV | 3.7 | 49 | 46 | Biden +3 |
| Susquehanna*Susquehanna* | 10/19 - 10/22 | 500 LV | 4.3 | 46 | 47 | Trump +1 |
| Rasmussen ReportsRasmussen | 10/18 - 10/19 | 800 LV | 3.5 | 48 | 47 | Biden +1 |
| Reuters/IpsosReuters | 10/14 - 10/21 | 658 LV | 4.0 | 49 | 46 | Biden +3 |
| CNBC/Change Research (D)CNBC | 10/16 - 10/19 | 232 LV | -- | 51 | 45 | Biden +6 |
| CBS News/YouGovCBS News | 10/13 - 10/16 | 1074 LV | 4.1 | 50 | 47 | Biden +3 |
| Reuters/IpsosReuters | 10/7 - 10/14 | 667 LV | 4.0 | 50 | 46 | Biden +4 |
| Monmouth*Monmouth* | 10/9 - 10/13 | 502 LV | 4.4 | 51 | 44 | Biden +7 |
| Trafalgar Group (R)*Trafalgar (R)* | 10/6 - 10/8 | 1087 LV | 2.9 | 44 | 48 | Trump +4 |
| OH Predictive InsightsPredictive Insights | 10/4 - 10/8 | 608 LV | 4.0 | 50 | 47 | Biden +3 |
| CNBC/Change Research (D)CNBC | 10/2 - 10/4 | 296 LV | -- | 51 | 45 | Biden +6 |
| Reuters/IpsosReuters | 9/29 - 10/7 | 633 LV | 4.3 | 48 | 46 | Biden +2 |
| NY Times/Siena*NYT/Siena* | 10/1 - 10/3 | 655 LV | 4.2 | 49 | 41 | Biden +8 |
| USA Today/Suffolk*USA Today* | 9/26 - 9/30 | 500 LV | 4.4 | 50 | 46 | Biden +4 |
| SusquehannaSusquehanna | 9/25 - 9/28 | 500 LV | 4.3 | 47 | 47 | Tie |
| CNBC/Change Research (D)CNBC | 9/18 - 9/20 | 262 LV | -- | 49 | 43 | Biden +6 |
| ABC News/Wash PostABC/WP | 9/15 - 9/20 | 579 LV | 4.5 | 48 | 49 | Trump +1 |
| Reuters/IpsosReuters | 9/11 - 9/17 | 565 LV | 4.7 | 47 | 46 | Biden +1 |
| NY Times/Siena*NYT/Siena* | 9/11 - 9/16 | 653 LV | 4.1 | 49 | 40 | Biden +9 |
| Monmouth*Monmouth* | 9/11 - 9/15 | 420 LV | 4.8 | 48 | 46 | Biden +2 |
| GravisGravis | 9/10 - 9/11 | 684 LV | 3.8 | 50 | 48 | Biden +2 |
| CBS News/YouGovCBS News | 9/9 - 9/11 | 1106 LV | -- | 47 | 44 | Biden +3 |
| OH Predictive InsightsPredictive Insights | 9/8 - 9/10 | 600 LV | 4.0 | 52 | 42 | Biden +10 |
| CNBC/Change Research (D)CNBC | 9/4 - 9/6 | LV | -- | 49 | 45 | Biden +4 |
| FOX News*FOX News* | 8/29 - 9/1 | 772 LV | 3.5 | 49 | 40 | Biden +9 |
| CNBC/Change Research (D)CNBC | 8/21 - 8/23 | 344 LV | -- | 49 | 47 | Biden +2 |
| EmersonEmerson | 8/8 - 8/10 | 661 LV | 3.8 | 49 | 45 | Biden +4 |
| CNBC/Change Research (D)CNBC | 8/7 - 8/9 | 428 LV | -- | 45 | 44 | Biden +1 |
| Trafalgar Group (R)*Trafalgar (R)* | 8/5 - 8/8 | 1013 LV | 3.0 | 45 | 46 | Trump +1 |
| OH Predictive InsightsPredictive Insights | 8/3 - 8/4 | 603 LV | 4.0 | 49 | 45 | Biden +4 |
| CNBC/Change Research (D)CNBC | 7/24 - 7/26 | 365 LV | -- | 47 | 45 | Biden +2 |
| CNNCNN | 7/18 - 7/24 | 873 RV | 3.8 | 49 | 45 | Biden +4 |
| NBC News/MaristNBC/Marist | 7/14 - 7/22 | 826 RV | 4.1 | 50 | 45 | Biden +5 |
| CNBC/Change Research (D)CNBC | 7/10 - 7/12 | 345 LV | -- | 51 | 45 | Biden +6 |
| CBS News/YouGovCBS News | 7/7 - 7/10 | 1099 RV | 3.8 | 46 | 46 | Tie |
| OH Predictive InsightsPredictive Insights | 7/6 - 7/7 | 600 LV | 4.0 | 49 | 44 | Biden +5 |
| GravisGravis | 6/27 - 6/27 | 527 LV | 4.3 | 45 | 49 | Trump +4 |
| CNBC/Change Research (D)CNBC | 6/26 - 6/28 | 1119 LV | -- | 51 | 44 | Biden +7 |
| CNBC/Change Research (D)CNBC | 6/12 - 6/14 | 201 LV | -- | 45 | 44 | Biden +1 |
| NY Times/SienaNYT/Siena | 6/8 - 6/16 | 650 RV | 4.3 | 48 | 41 | Biden +7 |
| FOX NewsFOX News | 5/30 - 6/2 | 1002 RV | 3.0 | 46 | 42 | Biden +4 |
| CNBC/Change Research (D)CNBC | 5/29 - 5/31 | 329 LV | -- | 44 | 45 | Trump +1 |
| OH Predictive InsightsPredictive Insights | 5/9 - 5/11 | 600 LV | 4.0 | 50 | 43 | Biden +7 |
| OH Predictive InsightsPredictive Insights | 4/7 - 4/8 | 600 LV | 4.0 | 52 | 43 | Biden +9 |
| NBC News/MaristNBC/Marist | 3/10 - 3/15 | 2523 RV | 2.7 | 47 | 46 | Biden +1 |
| MonmouthMonmouth | 3/11 - 3/14 | 847 RV | 3.4 | 46 | 43 | Biden +3 |
| Univision/ASUUnivision | 3/6 - 3/11 | 1036 RV | 3.0 | 50 | 42 | Biden +8 |
| OH Predictive InsightsPredictive Insights | 3/3 - 3/4 | 600 LV | 4.0 | 49 | 43 | Biden +6 |
| PPP (D)PPP (D) | 3/2 - 3/3 | 666 RV | 3.8 | 48 | 47 | Biden +1 |
| PPP (D)PPP (D) | 1/2 - 1/4 | 760 RV | 3.6 | 46 | 46 | Tie |
| OH Predictive InsightsPredictive Insights | 12/3 - 12/4 | 628 LV | 3.9 | 44 | 46 | Trump +2 |
| EmersonEmerson | 10/25 - 10/28 | 901 RV | 3.2 | 50 | 50 | Tie |
| NY Times/SienaNYT/Siena | 10/13 - 10/23 | 652 LV | 4.4 | 49 | 46 | Biden +3 |
| OH Predictive InsightsPredictive Insights | 8/13 - 8/14 | 600 LV | 4.0 | 45 | 43 | Biden +2 |
| OH Predictive InsightsPredictive Insights | 5/1 - 5/2 | 600 LV | 4.0 | 49 | 44 | Biden +5 |
| OH Predictive InsightsPredictive Insights | 2/12 - 2/13 | 600 LV | 4.0 | 46 | 46 | Tie |
